From cancelled flights and cancelled aircraft orders to frenzied air freight markets, the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic has been unprecedented. Here we outline some of the implications of the coronavirus for different corners of the commercial aviation industry.
Month: June 2020
An abrupt change in macro liquidity may be occurring with the potential for a vacuum, as the U.S. Federal Reserve slows its bond buying programs just as the U.S. Treasury accelerates issuance. This may mean the liquidity tide created when the Fed commenced it’s “unlimited” purchase program, would start going out to sea, and possibly leave behind more organic price discovery in markets.
While overvaluation is a necessary component to a great short, it alone is insufficient to tilt the likelihood of the short position working out in your favor. The danger of shorting such stocks is the immense damage that can be done in the interim from bullish investors having a set of conditions that allows them to remain bullish.