We continue to believe that the stock market offers materially better value than bonds, in general today. And this belief is based on detailed, ‘first-principles’ analysis. Though many stocks are overvalued today, some are still materially undervalued.
Of the private market giants, our preferred option is Blackstone, the world’s number one player with $US731 billion of assets under management (AUM) across all asset classes. The company has grown its AUM by 16% per annum for the last decade. It has created a ‘flywheel’ where its success allows it to attract the best talent and best deals, that lead to further success.
It is uncertain what the US competitive landscape will look like after years of newly regulated states and competitive customer acquisition still to come, but if Flutter can replicate Sportsbet’s success with FanDuel, it will help to unlock the huge valuation upside that makes Flutter such a compelling investment today.
Humans are linear by nature and our ability to grasp exponential change is extremely poor, this creates a blind-spot when it comes to assessing the potential of technology. While the cloud opportunity is already thought of in the trillions of dollars, it may actually become three to six times this size over the coming decade.