Standing on the shoulders of giants, Carlyle is following in the footsteps of its larger peers like KKR, Blackstone and Apollo in trimming their cost structure, shifting their mix towards stickier revenues, and launching captive insurance arms, to ensure they are best placed to participate in the structural growth of private markets.
Of the private market giants, our preferred option is Blackstone, the world’s number one player with $US731 billion of assets under management (AUM) across all asset classes. The company has grown its AUM by 16% per annum for the last decade. It has created a ‘flywheel’ where its success allows it to attract the best talent and best deals, that lead to further success.
It is uncertain what the US competitive landscape will look like after years of newly regulated states and competitive customer acquisition still to come, but if Flutter can replicate Sportsbet’s success with FanDuel, it will help to unlock the huge valuation upside that makes Flutter such a compelling investment today.
Humans are linear by nature and our ability to grasp exponential change is extremely poor, this creates a blind-spot when it comes to assessing the potential of technology. While the cloud opportunity is already thought of in the trillions of dollars, it may actually become three to six times this size over the coming decade.