Superforecasting Part II: Portrait of a modal superforecaster
In Part I of this two-part series, we covered a framework for improving one’s forecasting skills that started with asking good questions, quantifying one’s forecasts, and keeping score of the outcomes. Part II will conclude with a portrait of the modal superforecaster. In his book “Superforecasting: The Art & Science of Prediction”, Tetlock identifies a […]
