Why barriers to exit are killing commodity prices

Many investors understand the importance of “barriers to entry” to an industry. If an industry is difficult, time-consuming or prohibitively expensive to enter, then-incumbent industry players will be protected from competition. This is an attractive characteristic for the shareholders of said incumbents and usually results in the industry generating above-average industry returns. Fewer investors consider […]

A year-end check on global monetary conditions

The year of 2015 has been rather eventful from a global monetary perspective. We thought we would provide a brief year-end pulse-check on global monetary conditions to set the scene for 2016. For us, three key dates shaped where we are today: December 16, December 3 and August 11. December 16 On this day, the […]

Smart money on next generation

In this column, published in the Herald Sun, Andrew Macken highlights the importance of understanding the differences in behaviors of generations. Read here.

Beware: the dangers of dollar-denominated debt

Every day we are presented with a myriad of economic statistics that can drown all but the most discerning of readers. Occasionally, however, we see one number that is so important and so significant in terms of potential future implications that it is worth pausing for some reflection. A few weeks ago, The Wall Street […]

The Healthcare Dilemma

In 2013, the U.S. spent a whopping 17.4% of GDP on healthcare, more than any other high-income country. The magnitude of U.S. health expenditure is a highly-public, highly-politicized issue, yet few can elucidate why U.S. health spend diverges dramatically from other high-income nations. It is worth trying to understand the cause of this difference and […]

Harvard looking for short-sellers

A couple of weeks ago, the Financial Times published an article highlighting the cautiousness Harvard’s $38 billion endowment fund was now exercising with respect to its outlook for global financial markets. It’s perhaps little wonder. Take a look at the table below circulated by economic observer, Cullen Roche, last month. Every single major asset class […]

It’s a tough time for free-to-air TV

In this column, published in the Herald Sun, Andrew Macken observes some headwinds in the recently filed annual results of Seven West Media. Read here.

Are emerging markets taking too much credit?

Occasionally we see a chart that makes us really stop and take note. The chart below, published by JP Morgan and sourced from the Bank of International Settlements, illustrates the level of credit extended to the non-financial corporate sectors of developed markets (“DM”) versus emerging markets (“EM”) over time. Expressed as a percentage of GDP, […]

Is Glencore in a precarious position?

The story of Glencore, the Swiss-based commodity producer and trader, is a fascinating one. Originally founded in 1974 by Marc Rich, as Marc Rich & Co, the company was bought out by management (including current CEO and major shareholder, Ivan Glasenberg) in 1994 following an internal dispute. Wishing to rid itself of an association to […]

Top strategies for investing in Asia

In this column, published by the Australian Financial Review, Montaka’s Christopher Demasi comments on the demand for smartphones in emerging markets. Read here.