Quarterly Letter: Q4 2024
This insightful quarterly update sheds light on our evolved investment strategy which focusses on ‘advantaged’ businesses within structural transformations. Also learn about the four major cyclical upswings expected in 2025.
Update from the PMs – January 2025
Long summer days are perfect for catching up on the best content of the year just gone. And in this post, we’ve got you covered with just that + our Q4 2024 letter.
Ignore the gloomy news, Google’s advantages are growing
Explore how Google is transforming Search through AI, reducing costs by 90%, launching innovative features, and creating unprecedented competitive advantages that redefine the tech landscape.
The Potioneer’s Gambit
Why the world’s most valuable elixir maker may be outmaneuvered by its free-brewing rival!
Quarterly Letter: Q3 2024
When you combine solid US aggregate growth, falling interest rates, and reasonable equity valuations (after adjusting for several distortions), it makes global equities fertile ground for investment opportunities. And yet markets have experienced some volatility of late.
Ignore political noise, America is still best bet for investors
In their own way, Macken and Demasi are repeating their version of Buffett’s argument that the structural forces for growth and innovation behind the success of the US are too ingrained in the system to be stuffed up by whichever group of politicians happens to be in Washington.
Looks can be deceiving: Why equities are more attractive than they appear
By adjusting for outlier companies and considering R&D spending’s impact on earnings, a clearer picture of equity value emerges, challenging the ‘expensive equities’ narrative.
When you factor in R&D, innovator stocks like Amazon and Meta are still on sale
Discover how high R&D spending can make innovative companies like Meta and Amazon appear more expensive than they are. Learn about the ‘Raise & Distort’ effect and why these stocks might still be on sale.
The dangers of simple ‘rule of thumb’ PE valuations in today’s market
Ever wondered if a stock trading at 25x is overvalued? Think again! We dive deep into ‘first principles’ thinking to reveal why some of the world’s best companies might actually be undervalued even at high multiples.
Up 30% in a quarter? The mindset needed to successfully invest in transformational stocks
Investors in transformative businesses such as Amazon, Tencent and Meta, need to be prepared for the inherently uneven ‘lumpy’ returns of these businesses.
