Make sense of the global investment landscape with timely updates, articles and videos from our investment experts
Montaka
- Active ETF
Global Fund
ASX: MOGL
Montaka Global
Long Only Fund
Montaka Global
- Complex ETF
Extension Fund
ASX: MKAX
Sydney
Suite 2.06, 50 Holt Street
Surry Hills, NSW 2010
Australia
Copyright © 2022 Montaka Global
Privacy | Terms | Disclaimer | FSG | TMD
Augmented reality has arrived
Unless you live under a rock, you surely have heard of something called “Pokemon GO”. It is a new mobile game that was released by Niantic Labs on Apple and Android phones in the US, Australia and New Zealand just one week ago.
Reports from SimilarWeb emerged this week that Pokemon GO had already overtaken Tinder in Android app downloads and was expected to soon overtake Twitter (NYSE: TWTR) in daily active users. More spectacularly, users are spending more time in the game than on Snapchat, Instagram and WhatsApp.
We will leave readers to do their own research into the actual game of Pokemon GO. And it is interesting, at the very least, to experience how this game incorporates virtual game playing into the real world – a.k.a. “augmented reality”. (Your author admits he has downloaded the game and spent time playing). Instead, we will focus on an interesting financial observation that has resulted from this craze.
Now, publisher Niantic Labs was spun out of Google in 2015 and Nintendo (Tokyo: 7974) and The Pokemon Company invested in Niantic in October 2015. The size of their shareholdings is unknown, although, as of end FY2015, Niantic was not a Nintendo equity-method affiliate (meaning the stake is less than 20%); though we know Nintendo has 32% of the voting shares of The Pokemon Company.
Why is Nintendo interesting? Because over the last week, the company’s shares have surged by more than 75%! (Unfortunately, Montaka does not own any shares in Nintendo). So how should one interpret such a large appreciation in Nintendo’s stock price? Well, let’s consider the following:
Readers of this blog will know that we view stock prices as numerical representations of future expectations of earnings. So when Nintendo’s stock price rises by 75%, we immediately ask ourselves how much Nintendo needs to earn now to justify the incremental value. Based on our calculations above, the required additional earnings are astronomical. And that’s just to break-even on an investment at the current share price.
On this basis, Montaka will unlikely be buying the shares of Nintendo any time soon.
This document was prepared by Montaka Global Pty Ltd (ACN 604 878 533, AFSL: 516 942). The information provided is general in nature and does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. You should read the offer document and consider your own investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs before acting upon this information. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Consider seeking advice from a licensed financial advisor. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Related Insight
Share
Get insights delivered to your inbox including articles, podcasts and videos from the global equities world.