Market outlook

Is monetary policy in the US about to get easier?

While most people would point to the Federal Reserve’s decision to lower its policy interest rate this week as an indication that monetary conditions will gradually soften, we believe the central bank’s involvement in a lesser-known corner of financial markets a day earlier could portend a more significant action in order to restore easy monetary …

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When is the Top of the Cycle Really the Top?

Forecasting peaks of cycles is notoriously difficult, and while it often feels like we’re reaching the top of the longest expansion period in history, evidence suggests there is still plenty of room to grow. Equity market tops are often associated with euphoria and overconfidence, when otherwise risk-averse investors finally succumb and buy equities or the …

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