Quarterly Letter: Q1 2023

As the saying goes: there are decades where little happens, and there are weeks where decades happen. The weeks of Q1 2023 fell squarely into the latter category. Our letter reflects on the consequences of the rapid monetary tightening, the recent collapse of banks and declining retail spending. The letter also discusses the launch of OpenAI’s latest AI model, GPT-4.

Barbarians in your portfolio: The best way to access the private markets boom

Montaka Global Investments

Of the private market giants, our preferred option is Blackstone, the world’s number one player with $US731 billion of assets under management (AUM) across all asset classes. The company has grown its AUM by 16% per annum for the last decade. It has created a ‘flywheel’ where its success allows it to attract the best talent and best deals, that lead to further success.

A Massively Underestimated Trillion Dollar Market?

Market

Humans are linear by nature and our ability to grasp exponential change is extremely poor, this creates a blind-spot when it comes to assessing the potential of technology. While the cloud opportunity is already thought of in the trillions of dollars, it may actually become three to six times this size over the coming decade.

What’s next vs what it’s worth

worth of a stock

During periods of uncertainty, investors often default to first-order thinking and overweight what’s next. In these environments, attractive opportunities can be found by remaining focused on what a business is worth.

China’s rocky relationships to resume moving markets

China and its rocky relationships with the world

As we take the temperature of the major bilateral relationships with China, we assess that the probability of more intense disagreements and confrontations with the world’s second-largest power is only increasing.